{"name":"predictions.md","version":"1.0","description":"PREDICTIONS.md is a plain Markdown file of yes/no questions: how each one resolves, by when, and every forecast an agent or person made, as a probability. The tools convert odds, compute odds ratios, pool several agents' forecasts, apply Bayes' rule and score resolved forecasts, using only the numbers you send. For information only: not betting, trading or investment advice.","skill":{"url":"https://www.predictions.md/predictions.md","sha256":"4580a9fd880167ee53deec72e15dcc63b05eae215f674cabf7dcd2053d6bc4a7","format":"Agent Skills (SKILL.md frontmatter)","with_settings":"https://www.predictions.md/predictions.md?preset=recommended"},"settings":{"catalog":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/settings","presets":["core","recommended","team","strict"],"count":19,"rule":"Settings an agent drafted count only after the person says yes: show them to the person first, and follow them only once they agree."},"api":{"index":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1","openapi":"https://www.predictions.md/openapi.json","tools":[{"name":"convert_odds","title":"Convert odds and probabilities","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/convert_odds","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"implied_probabilities","title":"Turn a set of odds into probabilities","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/implied_probabilities","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"combine_forecasts","title":"Combine several agents' forecasts","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/combine_forecasts","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"bayes_update","title":"Update a probability on evidence","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/bayes_update","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"score_forecasts","title":"Score resolved forecasts","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/score_forecasts","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"check_predictions_md","title":"Check a PREDICTIONS.md file","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/check_predictions_md","methods":["GET","POST"]},{"name":"build_settings","title":"Write your settings into the skill","url":"https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/build_settings","methods":["GET","POST"]}]},"mcp":{"url":"https://www.predictions.md/mcp","transport":"streamable-http, stateless, JSON responses, no auth","add":"claude mcp add --transport http predictions https://www.predictions.md/mcp","tools":["convert_odds","implied_probabilities","combine_forecasts","bayes_update","score_forecasts","check_predictions_md","build_settings"],"prompts":["predictions"],"resources":["https://www.predictions.md/predictions.md","https://www.predictions.md/api/v1/settings"]},"llms_txt":"https://www.predictions.md/llms.txt","llms_full":"https://www.predictions.md/llms-full.txt","never":["fetches or shows third-party data, prices or rates","stores what you send","approves, enforces or certifies anything","never takes bets, offers odds, runs a market, gives picks, fetches live data, stores what you send or moves money"],"disclaimer":"For information only. Use at your own risk. predictions.md is provided as is, without warranty. Information here may be inaccurate, incomplete or not current, and is not verified; figures are estimates from the numbers you send and the formulas stated. Everything here is for information only. Nothing here is betting, trading, investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to act on any forecast. predictions.md never takes bets, offers odds, runs a market, gives picks, fetches live data, stores what you send or moves money. Check everything yourself before you act on it.","terms":"https://www.predictions.md/terms","contact":"support [ AT ] mailbox.bot","license":"MIT"}