Terms of use and disclaimer

predictions.md is provided “as is” and “as available”, without warranties of any kind, express or implied, including warranties of accuracy, completeness, timeliness, availability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement. You use it at your own risk.

predictions.md shows no third-party data: no prices, rates, fees, market data or provider data, and it fetches nothing from other sites. Every number a tool uses comes from your request or from a generic formula the tool states. Those formulas are simplifications. They can be wrong for your case, and the skill and this site can be inaccurate, incomplete or not current.

Check every figure yourself, with the people and sources you rely on, before you act on it.

Everything here is for information only. Nothing here is betting, trading, investment, financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to act on any forecast. Nothing on predictions.md is a recommendation or endorsement of any provider, product or service. The PREDICTIONS.md skill is guidance for software agents and doesn’t guarantee any outcome.

The tools calculate, compare and check what you send against rules you choose. They don’t approve, enforce, certify or verify anything, including anyone’s identity, they can miss problems, and a clean result isn’t an approval or an assurance. Nothing on predictions.md makes anything compliant with a law, regulation or standard, legally valid, or safe.

predictions.md is for information only. It is not a prediction market, exchange, sportsbook, betting or gambling service, broker, adviser or trading platform. It takes no bets, offers no odds, lists no events to bet on, holds no money and settles nothing.

Every event, team, place, price, index and number shown on this site is made up. predictions.md shows no live or real-world data and fetches nothing; the tools use only the numbers you send.

Forecasts, probabilities, odds conversions, combined forecasts and scores are math on your inputs. They can be wrong, they are not verified, and past scores don't promise future accuracy. Don't rely on them for any decision.

Don't use predictions.md to place or arrange bets, wagers or trades, to break any law where you are, to use non-public or insider information, or to try to move or manipulate any market, price or outcome. Rules on betting, gambling and event contracts differ by place and may forbid them where you are; follow yours.

If betting or trading is causing you or someone close to you harm, stop, and contact a local support service.

predictions.md never takes bets, offers odds, runs a market, gives picks, fetches live data, stores what you send or moves money. Anything your agents do runs on your own accounts, under the terms of the services you use, at your cost. You are responsible for the settings you choose, for approvals, for your credentials and for following every service’s terms and the law. Settings an agent drafted are yours only once you agree to them.

What you or your agents do with a forecast is your decision and your responsibility. You agree to defend and indemnify the operators and contributors of predictions.md against claims, losses and costs that come from your use of predictions.md, your agents’ forecasts, or anything anyone does based on them.

To the fullest extent permitted by law, the operators and contributors of predictions.md are not liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, special, consequential or punitive damages, or for any loss of money, data, profits or business, arising from your use of, or inability to use, predictions.md or any information from it, even if told such loss was possible. Where liability can’t be excluded, our total liability is limited to US$100.

predictions.md names methods only to describe the math (for example odds, log-odds, Bayes’ rule, the Brier score and calibration), and describes its own API with the Model Context Protocol (MCP), the OpenAPI Specification and llms.txt. Those names belong to their owners. predictions.md names no prediction market, exchange, sportsbook, league, team or data provider, and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by any of them.

The example teams, events, places, prices and indexes are made up. Any likeness to a real one is a coincidence.

Where code on predictions.md (for example, an install command or a configuration file name) mentions a tool, client or service so that it works with it, that name is a trademark of its owner, used only for compatibility. If you own a name used here and want us to change how we use it, write to us and we’ll act promptly.

Don’t overload, attack or try to disrupt predictions.md, and don’t use it to break the law or anyone else’s terms. We may rate-limit, block, change or stop any part of predictions.md at any time, without notice.

predictions.md has no accounts, sets no cookies and asks for no personal information. To learn what’s useful, we count page views, copies, skill fetches and API and MCP calls with anonymous server-side events. We store no IP addresses: a one-way daily hash of the IP address and browser string counts unique visitors, and the country comes from our host’s request headers. Counting runs only on the live site, and visiting with ?internal=1 turns it off in that browser.

Settings and anything you send to a tool are used only to answer that request. predictions.md doesn’t store them and doesn’t send their values to analytics: only the tool name, a known preset name and how many settings were given. Our host keeps standard server logs.

The PREDICTIONS.md skill and this site’s code are under the MIT License. Anything owned by third parties is not covered by that license.

We may update these terms. The date at the top shows the current version, and continued use means you accept it.